The Niger: DIEM-Risk analysis of the impact of the Strait of Hormuz crisis and the El Niño phenomenon on agricultural households, August 2026

Country: Niger Source: Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations Please refer to the attached file. Key highlights A double shock: The closure of the Strait of Hormuz exacerbates tensions in already disrupted markets for refined fuels and mineral fertilizer, where localized shortages are occurring. Meanwhile, forecasts of an intense El Niño event raise the risk of erratic rainfall, combining dry spells and flooding, potentially damaging crop and pastoral production. Varying levels of exposure: The erratic rainfall associated with El Niño poses a direct risk to 96 percent of farme